
Malaysian palm oil futures inched higher to 4,222 ringgit a ton, snapping a two-session decline. Export trackers estimated Malaysian shipments rose about 15-18% month on month in January, while India's palm imports jumped 51% as the discount to soyoil attracted buyers.
A Reuters survey pointed to falling January inventories.
Expected inventory declines and firm exports tighten supply and support prices, while strong Indian buying adds demand. The complex could reverse if rival oils weaken or seasonal production rebounds.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong January Malaysian exports (+15-18% m/m), India's 51% jump in palm imports and expected stock draw point to demand strength and tightening supply, supporting prices into Feb 4.