
Oil settled down over $5 on Wednesday as EIA data showed weak US gasoline demand and a large inventory build. Brent fell 5.6% to $85.81 and WTI fell 5.6% to $84.22.
Weak fuel demand and a bearish inventory build point to lower crude prices, which pressure ethanol and biofuel economics and can ease energy costs for feed producers.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 86 past bearish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of Brent falling 5.6% on weak US gasoline demand and a large inventory build, the proximate trigger.
EIA data showing weak US gasoline demand and a large inventory build triggered the Oct 4 sell-off (demand channel).