
CME live and feeder cattle futures finished higher on September 20 ahead of the USDA Cattle on Feed report, with October live cattle reaching highs not seen since August. The USDA report showed cattle on feed slightly above a year earlier and placements in line with expectations.
Cattle inventories near multi-decade lows keep futures firm, while more cattle on feed due to cheap corn limits upside.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.