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CME cattle futures rose Friday after USDA reported the July 1 herd at 94.2 million head, a record low, and feedlot cattle 2% below last year versus expectations of 0.8%. Trump's comments about beef sales to Australia drew skepticism, while a Mexican cattle import ban and Brazilian beef tariffs due August 1 are seen tightening US supplies.
A record-low herd and tighter import access support cattle prices and reduce feedlot supply, while the Australian beef comments were viewed as unlikely to change the balance.
thebeefsite.comMelanie EppJul 28, 2025
thecattlesite.comMelanie EppJul 28, 2025After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
