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CoBank research finds record US corn, soybean and sorghum harvests are straining grain storage capacity, particularly in the Western Corn Belt and Southern Plains. Interior corn and wheat basis has hit multi-year lows, and USDA projects the highest wheat and corn ending stocks since 1987-88.
Large stocks and storage shortages keep interior cash prices depressed while futures carry incentivizes storage, a bearish backdrop for US corn, wheat and sorghum prices.
world-grain.comHolly Demaree-SaddlerDec 6, 2016After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
