
Oil World expects Canadian canola plantings to rise by less than 10 percent in spring, at the expense of wheat, as farmers seek to sell before vegetable oil prices fall. The firm forecasts palm output will rebound significantly by 2018, potentially causing a severe global price drop.
ICE canola futures have gained about 15 percent since August.
Expected acreage gains add future canola supply, while forecast palm oil recovery points to lower vegetable oil prices and weaker canola values later in 2017.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.6%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.