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The yuan fell about 4% in September as Fed tightening drove a dollar rally. The offshore yuan hit a record low while the onshore rate was near levels last seen in the 2008 crisis.
Yuan weakness against a strong dollar signals tighter Chinese import margins and softer demand for dollar-priced feed inputs, a mild bearish signal for soybeans and meal.
bloomberg.comBloomberg NewsSep 29, 2022After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
