
The US dollar rallied in September, while the yuan recorded its largest gain in eight months on a trade-weighted basis. The gauge tracking China's currency against 24 peers showed other currencies weakened more against the dollar than the tightly managed yuan.
A firmer yuan modestly eases the cost of dollar-priced imports for China, but the effect on feed commodity prices is small. A stronger dollar generally pressures dollar-denominated grain prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.