
The onshore yuan approached the weak end of its trading band and the offshore yuan fell past 7.3 per dollar, an all-time low since its 2010 launch. The move followed the party congress and expectations of further hawkish Federal Reserve policy that could drive capital outflows.
A sharp yuan slide increases the dollar cost of Chinese feed and oilseed imports, which can reduce Chinese buying interest and weigh on US export prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.