
The onshore and offshore yuan fell to their weakest levels since September 2020 after an unexpected PBOC rate cut earlier that week. The selloff accelerated as the dollar surged and interest rate differentials widened.
A sharp yuan slide raises China's cost of dollar-priced grain and oilseed imports and can dent Chinese demand, which is bearish for global feed ingredient prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.