
The Chinese yuan fell to 6.7918 per dollar, its lowest level since August 2010, after Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election. The dollar rallied as U.S. Treasury yields rose on expectations of more fiscal stimulus.
Expectations of higher U.S. yields and fiscal stimulus strengthen the dollar and weaken the yuan, which tends to pressure dollar-priced agricultural commodities and raise Chinese import costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump's election win triggered a dollar rally and pushed the yuan to a six-year low on Nov 10, within the window, driving the bulk of the CNY/USD move.
Post-election yuan drop to a six-year low on 10 Nov set up the dollar-strength trend that continued into 14 Nov, though it predates the window.