Loading…
Danske Bank forecasts USD/BRL at 3.40 in three months, 3.60 in six months and 3.80 in twelve, which is more bearish on the real than market expectations. The bank cites weak Q1 2017 GDP, aggressive central bank rate cuts and political turmoil that could slow fiscal adjustment.
A weaker real tends to make Brazilian soybean meal, corn and other exports cheaper for international buyers, which can pressure global feed ingredient prices.
octaafrica.netJun 29, 2017After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
