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USDA's Milk Production report showed May 2017 U.S. output up 1.8 percent year over year to 18.94 billion pounds, with 71,000 more cows. Milk per cow growth slowed, and output fell in California, Wisconsin and Idaho.
Expanding herd and output add to dairy supply and weigh on Class III milk prices, while lower per-cow yields in key states slightly temper the surplus.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.