
USDA's Milk Production report showed October 2017 US milk output up 1.4% year over year to 17.81 billion pounds. National cow numbers were 9.4 million, up 65,000 head, and milk per cow rose 12 pounds to 1,894 pounds.
Expanding milk output and herd size add supply to the market, which supports the bearish outlook for dairy prices and co-product values.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
October milk output up 1.4% with more cows and higher yields confirms supply growth that weighs on futures.