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ABN Amro reports that dry, warm US weather has lifted prices across grains, with wheat up about 30% in the past month to a two-year high. Dry conditions in Australia, Canada, France and Spain also raised production fears, though global soy, wheat and corn stocks remain high.
Weather-driven production fears and a shrinking wheat area support grain prices, while record corn stocks limit the upside.
demolenaar.nlDaniël KooistraJul 11, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
