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Hedge funds cut their net long in CBOT wheat to 51,180 contracts in the week ended August 28, while remaining bullish overall. Funds were cautiously bearish on corn and soybeans, and Statistics Canada pegged the Canadian wheat crop below trade estimates.
A smaller Canadian crop and large fund long positions in wheat support prices, though a trimmed net long signals some profit-taking risk. Bearish fund positioning in corn and soybeans reflects weaker sentiment.
omanobserver.omSep 4, 2018After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
