Eurozone set for fastest growth since 2007, says ECB

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2017ECB's Draghi says 'more optimistic' on the outlook for the eurozone - BBC News+0.8%
• Nov 11, 2022Dollar set for biggest two-day fall since 2009 as rate outlook shifts+1.7%
• Jul 1, 2025Dollar lowest since 2021 against euro, gains on yen-0.5%
• Sep 5, 2020No cause yet for ECB alarm over euro strength+0.5%
• Oct 1, 2025Euro Heads for Highest in Four Years With $1.20 Level in Sight-0.5%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Nov 11, 2022Dollar set for biggest two-day fall since 2009 as rate outlook shifts-0.7%
• Apr 28, 2021Fed decision April 2021: Interest rates held near zero, sees faster growth+0.3%
• Jul 1, 2025Dollar lowest since 2021 against euro, gains on yen+0.4%
• Mar 30, 2023Sterling set for biggest monthly gain vs dollar since November-0.4%
• Sep 5, 2020No cause yet for ECB alarm over euro strength-0.3%