
The dollar fell to multi-year lows against the euro and sterling but gained against the Japanese yen, which was at 145.17. Traders weighed expectations of Fed rate cuts and returned focus to US fiscal policy.
The Bank of Japan kept rates steady, citing uncertainty over US tariffs.
A weaker dollar against the euro and sterling supports dollar-priced commodities, while the yen move is mixed. Lower Fed rate expectations reinforce dollar weakness.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.