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Lean hog futures fell sharply in the week ending Sept. 23, with the October contract hitting contract lows and losing nearly $10 during September.
Pork bellies and hams dropped, with Mexico reportedly pulling back from the U.S. market during NAFTA talks, and the pork cutout fell to near last year's levels.
Weaker pork demand from Mexico and lower cutout values reduce the margin for packers and push hog prices lower as record production continues. Lower hog prices can reduce hog producers' feed buying.
nationalhogfarmer.comDennis SmithSep 25, 2017After 123 past bearish trade events, HOGS moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
