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The EPA said it will keep renewable fuel mandate volumes at or above the proposed levels and will not shift the blending obligation to producers. Vegetable oil and fats markets strengthened on the decision.
The article describes months of volatility tied to EPA mandate expectations.
Mandates at or above proposed levels support biodiesel feedstock demand for soybean oil and corn-based ethanol, which is bullish for those prices. The reversal removes a major source of downside risk.
agweek.comAlex Norton, Beeson Inc.Oct 22, 2017After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
