Ukraine's 2017 rapeseed crop rose 83% to 2.2 million tonnes, while soybean output fell 12% to 3.8 million tonnes and sunflower seed output fell nearly 15% to 11.6 million tonnes. USDA FAS says the VAT refund removal from March 2018 could shift exports toward processed oil and meal.
A bigger rapeseed crop adds canola meal supply, while lower soybean and sunflower output and the VAT change shift Ukrainian exports toward processed meal and oil.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.