Indonesian officials expect domestic biodiesel consumption to fall in the second half of 2017 after 1.7 million kilolitres in the first half. Separately, US anti-subsidy duties hit biodiesel imports and India raised its edible oil import tax to a 10-year high.
India's higher edible oil tariff reduces import demand for palm and soy oil, while weaker Indonesian biodiesel use leaves more palm oil available for export.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.