A WTO panel ruled largely in favor of Indonesia in its challenge to EU anti-dumping duties of 8.8 to 20.5 percent on biodiesel imports, upholding six of seven claims. The EU duties, imposed in 2013, cut Indonesian biodiesel exports from $649 million in 2013 to $150 million in 2016.
Indonesia's trade minister forecast exports could rebound to $1.7 billion by 2022.
A possible reopening of the EU biodiesel market would raise demand for Indonesian palm oil feedstock, supporting CPO and palm oil prices over the coming years.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.