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Nordea Markets notes EUR/USD has risen despite interest rate spreads favouring the dollar, citing slower ECB asset purchases and a US Treasury cash drawdown tied to the debt ceiling. It keeps a higher EUR/USD view into 2019 but a lower short-term view.
Shifts in dollar liquidity and FX direction influence dollar-priced commodity competitiveness, though the link to feed prices is indirect.
octaafrica.netMar 26, 2018After 129 past neutral macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
