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Euro-dollar one-month implied volatility rose to a one-year high of about 6.6% as the coronavirus outbreak drove large moves across currency markets. Money markets fully priced a 10 basis point ECB cut by June and a 25 basis point Fed cut in March.
Heightened currency volatility and expected rate cuts point to a softer dollar over time, which can support dollar-priced commodities. The effect on feed prices is indirect and likely modest.
octaafrica.netFeb 28, 2020After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
