China's yuan firmed on Thursday as tight interbank liquidity ahead of Lunar New Year pushed money-market rates higher. The overnight repo rate hit its highest level since 2015, while a global stock rout lifted safe-haven demand for the dollar and limited the yuan's gains.
A firmer yuan lifts China's purchasing power for dollar-priced grain and oilseed imports, but tighter Chinese liquidity can slow buying and restock demand at the margin. Currency moves of this size have only a modest direct effect on feed prices.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.