EUR/USD steady near 1.1800 amid thin liquidity, policy divergence

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Nov 5, 2020Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD steady near $1,950 after Fed’s decision — Octa-0.8%
• Jul 31, 2024Yen surges, USD heads south on divergent Fed, BOJ policies-0.5%
• May 29, 2022Rupiah Steal a Chance Amidst the USD Weakening | DIDIMAX+0.0%
• Jul 30, 2020US dollar: Sell-off to extend amid low yields, ample liquidity – Standard Chartered — Octa-0.3%
• Jan 31, 2017Dollar slips amid Trump's hardening policy defence, yen benefits-0.6%

After 129 past neutral macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Mar 26, 2018Relative liquidity supply has lead EUR/USD higher – Nordea Markets — Octa-0.3%
• Jul 26, 2024EUR/USD appreciates to near 1.0850 ahead of US PCE inflation — Octa-0.7%
• Mar 7, 2024EUR/USD up on the day after conclusion of ECB policy meeting+0.3%
• Feb 26, 2026EUR/USD steady as ECB eyes inflation target, German CPI in focus-1.4%
• Sep 2, 2021Rates Spark: Convergence or divergence | ING THINK-0.2%