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The Bank of Japan raised rates by 15bp, more than the 10bp expected, while the Fed held rates at 5.25-5.50% and signaled a possible September cut. The yen rallied sharply, pushing USD/JPY below 149 for the first time since March.
Fed funds futures price multiple cuts through March.
A weaker dollar and firmer yen reflect diverging central bank policy, which can shift currency-driven export competitiveness and dollar-denominated commodity prices. The effect on feed prices is indirect and moderate.
forex.comMatt SimpsonJul 31, 2024After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
