
EUR/USD traded near 1.1800 as ECB President Lagarde said inflation is converging toward the 2% target and food inflation should ease. Eurozone sentiment indicators came in below expectations, and markets awaited German CPI data.
A prolonged ECB pause keeps the euro range-bound and the dollar supported, a mild headwind for dollar-priced feed commodities.
After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.