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Ohio Farm Bureau members lobbied in Washington on the farm bill, NAFTA, and broadband. An AFBF economist warned that trade uncertainty and the recent tariff announcement could hurt U.S. agriculture, and noted that the EU has already published a retaliation list.
Trade uncertainty and possible EU retaliation lists raise risk to U.S. export demand for grains and oilseeds, which could weigh on prices.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.