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Ukraine raised anti-dumping tariffs on Russian ammonium nitrate imports, setting 29.25% for Dorogobuzh and 42.96% for other Russian exporters. The economy ministry argued that Russian producers had evaded earlier duties by misdescribing shipments.
Higher duties restrict Russian nitrogen supply into Ukraine, tightening regional nitrogen availability and supporting Black Sea fertilizer prices.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.