
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by a quarter point to a 1.5%-1.75% range at its March meeting, the first chaired by Jerome Powell. The committee also upgraded its economic outlook and signaled that additional hikes could come in the following years.
Higher US rates strengthen the dollar and raise the opportunity cost of holding commodities, which tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices, while a stronger economy supports feed demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.