
After the Fed raised rates and signaled faster hikes in 2017, shorter-dated Treasury yields hit their highest in more than five years and US stocks fell. The dollar rose against a basket of currencies and gold dropped to its lowest level in more than a year.
A stronger dollar and higher yields pressure dollar-priced commodities and tighten financing for exporters and feed buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Fed's faster-hike signal lifted short-dated yields and the dollar against a basket of currencies on Dec 15.