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On December 14, 2016 the Fed raised its target rate by a quarter point to 0.50-0.75 percent and projected three hikes in 2017 instead of two. The 2-year Treasury yield reached a seven-year high and the dollar index jumped 1.2 percent to 102.24.
A hawkish Fed surprise lifts the dollar and yields, which weighs on dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and emerging-market demand.
cnbc.comPatti DommDec 14, 2016After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The hawkish Fed surprise pushed Treasury yields to multi-year highs and the dollar index up 1.2%, directly driving the broad dollar move.
