
Indonesia's government is importing extra Indian buffalo meat, including 100,000 tons approved for 2018, to offset a domestic beef shortfall and reduce reliance on Australian beef. Retail buffalo prices are near locally slaughtered beef prices because of supply chain mark-ups.
Substituting cheaper buffalo imports for Australian beef reduces demand for Australian cattle and beef exports, which weighs on live cattle prices.
After 121 past bearish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.