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Cattle futures fell after the White House removed 40% U.S. tariffs on Brazilian beef, which should allow Brazilian beef to return to the U.S. market. Talk of reopening the Mexican cattle border also weighed on futures.
USDA data showed cattle on feed down 2% year over year and October placements down 10%.
Tariff removal increases import supply of beef, pressuring domestic cattle values. Lower placements tighten feeder supplies, partly offsetting the import effect.
grainews.caPhil Franz-WarkentinNov 21, 2025After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brazilian tariff removal and talk of reopening the Mexican border (more feeder supply) pushed futures lower on Nov 21.
Futures dipped on Brazilian tariff removal and Mexican border reopening talk, both adding potential supply.
