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August live cattle futures stalled and drifted lower after two negative headlines hit US beef exports to China. Ractopamine was detected in beef from a JBS Greeley plant, prompting Beijing to block its exports, and China lifted bans on five Australian beef plants.
Loss of China as a market for US beef reduces packer demand for fed cattle, which weighs on cattle prices.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.