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US hog and cattle futures fell to multi-month lows on ample supplies and weakening cash markets. Concerns grew that China's purchases might exceed Phase One deal commitments amid the coronavirus outbreak, and JBS and BRF said China's meat imports will stay elevated in 2020 due to African swine fever.
Ample cattle supplies and doubts about Chinese meat demand weigh on hog and cattle futures, though expected China imports offer some support for pork.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsJan 29, 2020After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hog futures hit multi-month lows on ample supplies, weak cash markets and worries about China's Phase One purchases amid coronavirus, which sets up the selling momentum that carried into Jan 31; it is dated two days earlier.
