
Live and feeder cattle futures on the CME fell for a third straight session as expectations of rising beef supplies drove liquidation of long positions, especially in feeders. December live cattle settled at 218.775 cents per pound and January feeders at 315.600 cents.
Both contracts had reached record highs in mid-October after the US herd shrank following drought, and an screwworm outbreak in Mexico had halted most feeder imports since May.
Prospects of reopening Mexican feeder cattle imports would add supply to a tight US herd, pressuring feeder prices and reducing feeder demand for corn and meal. Liquidation has been driving the decline more than changes in fundamentals.
After 121 past bearish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Third straight session of declines with long liquidation on expectations of rising beef supplies, covering the end of the window.