
Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue told the Senate Agriculture Committee that EPA waivers eliminated demand for 1.12 billion gallons of ethanol last year. USDA's estimate matches an analysis by the Renewable Fuels Association.
Perdue also said the president wants the RFS volume kept at 15 billion gallons and that a year-round E15 decision is pending.
Losing over a billion gallons of ethanol demand removes a significant outlet for corn grind, which is bearish for corn. A year-round E15 decision could partly offset that demand loss.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.