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Grain futures traded mixed on March 14, 2019, as traders weighed China trade rumors. Wider market attention turned to British Parliament's vote blocking a no-deal Brexit exit from the EU, and managed funds remained heavily short.
Heavy speculative short positions leave grains vulnerable to sharp rallies if China trade news improves. Export sales figures due the next morning will be key for corn and wheat demand expectations.
dtnpf.comTregg Cronin DTN Contributing AnalystMar 14, 2019After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 206 past neutral trade events, WHEAT moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 20 past neutral trade events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.4%), and -4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
