
The US imposed 25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs on the EU, Canada and Mexico after trade talks failed ahead of a June 1 deadline. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau condemned the move, and Canada announced C$12.8 billion in retaliatory tariffs.
Mexico and the European Commission also said they would respond, and US stocks fell sharply.
Canada's retaliatory tariffs and the EU and Mexico responses threaten US farm export flows, with downside risk for US grain and meal demand. Broader risk-off sentiment also pressures energy and industrial demand.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 80 past bearish trade events, WTI moved a median -2.2% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -6.9% to +0.8%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.