
U.S. natural gas futures for February delivery jumped about 25% to $4.875 per mmBtu on Wednesday, a record 57% gain over two sessions. The rally followed expectations of near-record heating demand and output cuts from frozen oil and gas wells.
Extreme cold boosts heating demand and curbs production, pushing gas prices sharply higher. Higher natural gas costs raise energy and nitrogen fertilizer expenses, and ethanol-linked corn demand may also shift with energy prices.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 30 past bullish weather events, Urea moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.6%), and +9.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.