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Wheat markets were hammered this week as new US tariffs on Chinese goods totaling $200 billion were announced, raising the prospect of further countermeasures that could cut US export demand. Spring wheat crop conditions improved, adding pressure.
Corn and soybeans also weakened on trade concerns.
Expanded tariffs threaten US feed grain and oilseed export demand, and with supplies comfortable, the potential demand loss is bearish for grains and soymeal.
agweek.comAlex Norton, Beeson Inc.Jun 24, 2018After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
