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Grain prices fell in the week ending August 2, 2019 after Trump announced a 10% tariff on the remaining $300 billion of Chinese imports. Weaker-than-expected US export sales and cooler forecasts for US growing regions added pressure.
Corn lost about 7% in July.
Tariff escalation and reduced Chinese purchases weaken export demand for US grains. Better weather lowers the risk premium, so prices are likely to stay under pressure.
realagriculture.comBrennan TurnerAug 2, 2019After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
