Why the EU Was Already Likely to Import More U.S. Soybeans

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• May 13, 2019What Does the US Export to China? Soybeans Lowest in Decade - Bloomberg+3.1%
• Aug 1, 2018Why Soybeans Are at the Heart of the U.S.-China Trade War-1.6%
• Mar 14, 2019Europe Buys More U.S. Soybeans as Exports to China Plunge - Caixin Global+1.9%
• Mar 16, 2026Soybeans Slumps More Than 3% on Possible US-China Talks Delay - Bloomberg-4.1%
• Feb 19, 2026ANALYSIS: Tariff gap likely to keep China's soybean imports anchored to Brazil | S&P Global+1.3%

After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• May 13, 2019What Does the US Export to China? Soybeans Lowest in Decade - Bloomberg+3.6%
• Aug 1, 2018Why Soybeans Are at the Heart of the U.S.-China Trade War-2.5%
• Mar 14, 2019Why U.S. growers are betting the farm on soybeans amid China trade war+3.8%
• Jun 13, 2019Soybeans: What you need to know and why US soybeans are important to Irish farmers - Agriland.ie-0.8%
• Jul 12, 2018Importers snap up cheap U.S. soybeans as China stops buying-1.4%

After 26 past neutral trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.4%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Oct 12, 2022China Set to Import Brazilian Corn in Challenge to US Supply - Bloomberg+1.5%
• Mar 7, 2019China's Shopping List in America Has These Farm Goods at the Top - Bloomberg+0.3%
• Jun 25, 2019China’s US soybean and pork imports down 55.3 per cent due to trade war, African swine fever | South China Morning Post-0.1%
• Sep 26, 2018Graphic: Crop chop - China shuns U.S. soybeans amid trade war, turns to Brazil-4.8%
• Jul 25, 2023Brazil is pushing the US out of world’s biggest soybean market+0.2%