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US soybean exports to China fell to about 9.4 million tons from September through February, roughly a third of the prior year's volume, after Beijing imposed a 25% tariff. European Union purchases of US soybeans rose to 9 million tons over the 12 months through February, the highest since 1995.
Brazilian exports to China doubled to a record 6.1 million tons in February.
European demand absorbs part of the lost Chinese volume but does not fully replace it, so US export prices remain under pressure. Record Brazilian shipments to China reinforce the shift in trade flows away from the US.
caixinglobal.comHuang Shulun, Yang GeMar 14, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
