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US soybean imports by China rocketed in March as delayed cargoes arrived, while Brazilian shipments plunged 85%. Brazil also suspended import duties on soy, corn, soybean meal and soybean oil through year-end to fight inflation.
Brazil's duty suspension increases its import competitiveness and the shift of Chinese demand toward US beans tightens supply, adding support to soybean and corn prices.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodApr 21, 2021After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
