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A farmdoc daily analysis overlays a timeline of U.S.-China trade actions on Central Illinois corn and soybean prices. It notes corn fell from $3.78 to $3.09 and soybeans from $10.34 to $7.84 over five months, with a partial rebound since mid-July.
The timeline documents how tariff escalation has pressured U.S. grain prices, reinforcing that trade headlines remain the key downside driver for soybeans and corn.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia JiaoJul 31, 2018After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
