Cash corn is near $5.50 and cash soybeans near $13, far below last June's levels. China has canceled export sales of US corn and is buying cheaper Brazilian supplies, and Mexico is also shifting purchases to Brazil.
Brazil's rapidly expanding production is attracting buyers.
Losing key export markets such as China and Mexico to Brazil reduces US demand and keeps US corn and soy prices under pressure. Brazilian competition is likely to persist as its production grows.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China cancelling US corn and Mexico and others shifting to cheaper Brazilian supply cut US export demand and weighed on prices.